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Maccabi vs LDLC ASVEL prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, September 24

FinalLDLC ARENA
53% win MTAwin ASV 47%
FavoriteMTA
Projected margin0.8
Projected total174
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne host Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv on Thursday, September 24 at 2:45 PM ET at LDLC ARENA in EuroLeague action. Final score: Maccabi 74 – LDLC ASVEL 84. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv a 53% chance to win: prediction missed.

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects LDLC ASVEL 87 – 88 Maccabi, a margin of about 0.8 points in favor of Maccabi and a total around 174 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The overall strength gap (-6.2 vs -2.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • LDLC ASVEL needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Maccabi's offense (90.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • LDLC ASVEL's defense allows clearly fewer points (86.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge LDLC ASVEL
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ASV -6.2 / MTA -2.1 per game
-4.0
Home-court advantageLDLC ASVEL at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor LDLC ASVEL
-0.8

Scenarios

LDLC ASVEL win by 10+
17%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
34%
Maccabi win by 10+
21%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

MTAASV
90.1
Points scored / game
79.3
92.7
Points allowed / game
86.6
-2.1
Adjusted margin / game
-6.2

Early season: the numbers also lean on last season.

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
MTA
No games played yet.
ASV
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MTAASV
0-0Record0-0
90.1Points scored / game79.3
92.7Points allowed / game86.6
-2.1Adjusted margin / game-6.2
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
18-20 (-2.5)Last season8-30 (-7.3)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.