Olympiacos vs FC Barcelona prediction EuroLeague · Friday, October 16
At a glance
FC Barcelona (3-2) host Olympiacos Piraeus (4-1) on Friday, October 16 at 2:30 PM ET at PALAU BLAUGRANA in EuroLeague action. Final score: Olympiacos 105 – FC Barcelona 100. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Olympiacos Piraeus a 60% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, FC Barcelona are 2-1 at home and Olympiacos Piraeus are 3-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-2 for FC Barcelona and 4-1 for Olympiacos Piraeus (current streaks: FC Barcelona W1, Olympiacos W2).
The analysis Model
Olympiacos is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects FC Barcelona 86 – 88 Olympiacos, a margin of about 2.9 points in favor of Olympiacos and a total around 174 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+1.0 vs +7.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- FC Barcelona needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Olympiacos' offense (92.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
OLYBAR
Recent form
OLY
102-97W
89-66L
94-96W
93-91W
106-89BAR
90-87L81-88W
95-82L
87-94W89-82Team comparison
| OLY | BAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 3-2 |
| 92.9 | Points scored / game | 85.9 |
| 84.5 | Points allowed / game | 84.7 |
| +7.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.0 |
| W2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 4-1 | Last 10 games | 3-2 |
| 3-1 road | Home / road record | 2-1 home |
| 31-12 (+8.0) | Last season | 22-18 (+0.8) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.