FC Barcelona vs Olympiacos prediction EuroLeague · Wednesday, March 24
At a glance
Olympiacos Piraeus (6-2) host FC Barcelona (5-3) on Wednesday, March 24 at 3:15 PM ET at PEACE AND FRIENDSHIP STADIUM in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Olympiacos Piraeus a 77% chance to win and projects a 83-91 score (FC Barcelona – Olympiacos), about 174 total points. This season, Olympiacos Piraeus are 1-1 at home and FC Barcelona are 3-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for Olympiacos Piraeus and 5-3 for FC Barcelona (current streaks: Olympiacos W1, FC Barcelona W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 26% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
Olympiacos starts with a clear edge. The model projects Olympiacos 91 – 83 FC Barcelona, a margin of about 8.3 points in favor of Olympiacos and a total around 174 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+6.3 vs +1.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- FC Barcelona needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Olympiacos' offense (90.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
BAROLY
Recent form
BAR
88-84W
89-81L100-105W
90-87L
81-88OLY
81-73L
61-64W105-100W
102-97W
89-66Team comparison
| BAR | OLY | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | Record | 6-2 |
| 87.1 | Points scored / game | 90.9 |
| 85.7 | Points allowed / game | 83.5 |
| +1.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.3 |
| W2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 5-3 | Last 10 games | 6-2 |
| 3-1 road | Home / road record | 1-1 home |
| 22-18 (+0.8) | Last season | 31-12 (+8.0) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.