Anadolu Efes vs Zalgiris prediction EuroLeague · Friday, October 16
At a glance
Zalgiris Kaunas (2-3) host Anadolu Efes Istanbul (1-4) on Friday, October 16 at 1:00 PM ET at ZALGIRIO ARENA in EuroLeague action. Final score: Anadolu Efes 85 – Zalgiris 70. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Zalgiris Kaunas a 78% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, Zalgiris Kaunas are 0-1 at home and Anadolu Efes Istanbul are 0-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-3 for Zalgiris Kaunas and 1-4 for Anadolu Efes Istanbul (current streaks: Zalgiris L1, Anadolu Efes L3).
The analysis Model
On paper, Zalgiris dominates this matchup. The model projects Zalgiris 89 – 80 Anadolu Efes, a margin of about 8.8 points in favor of Zalgiris and a total around 168 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (+1.2 vs -4.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Anadolu Efes needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Zalgiris' offense (85.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
EFSZAL
Recent form
EFS
93-101L
66-89L
72-77W
94-84L
82-89ZAL
80-99W88-81L
78-82L91-93W83-77Team comparison
| EFS | ZAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-4 | Record | 2-3 |
| 80.6 | Points scored / game | 85.8 |
| 85.7 | Points allowed / game | 84.4 |
| -4.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.2 |
| L3 | Current streak | L1 |
| 1-4 | Last 10 games | 2-3 |
| 0-3 road | Home / road record | 0-1 home |
| 12-26 (-4.2) | Last season | 24-18 (+3.8) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.