Zalgiris vs Anadolu Efes prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, February 2
At a glance
Anadolu Efes Istanbul (3-5) host Zalgiris Kaunas (4-4) on Tuesday, February 2 at 12:30 PM ET at TURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Zalgiris Kaunas a 60% chance to win and projects a 86-83 score (Zalgiris – Anadolu Efes), about 169 total points. This season, Anadolu Efes Istanbul are 2-1 at home and Zalgiris Kaunas are 3-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for Anadolu Efes Istanbul and 4-4 for Zalgiris Kaunas (current streaks: Anadolu Efes L1, Zalgiris W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Zalgiris is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Anadolu Efes 83 – 86 Zalgiris, a margin of about 2.8 points in favor of Zalgiris and a total around 169 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (-3.9 vs +2.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Anadolu Efes needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Zalgiris' offense (86.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
ZALEFS
Recent form
ZAL
91-74W
105-85L70-85L
80-99W
88-81EFS
88-118W
89-80W85-70L
93-101L
66-89Team comparison
| ZAL | EFS | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | Record | 3-5 |
| 86.4 | Points scored / game | 81.9 |
| 83.8 | Points allowed / game | 86.4 |
| +2.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.9 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 4-4 | Last 10 games | 3-5 |
| 3-2 road | Home / road record | 2-1 home |
| 24-18 (+3.8) | Last season | 12-26 (-4.2) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.