Paris vs Crvena Zvezda prediction EuroLeague · Friday, October 16
At a glance
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (3-2) host Paris Basketball (1-4) on Friday, October 16 at 2:00 PM ET at BELGRADE ARENA in EuroLeague action. Final score: Paris 81 – Crvena Zvezda 90. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade a 74% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade are 1-2 at home and Paris Basketball are 0-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-2 for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade and 1-4 for Paris Basketball (current streaks: Crvena Zvezda W3, Paris L2).
The analysis Model
Crvena Zvezda starts with a clear edge. The model projects Crvena Zvezda 90 – 82 Paris, a margin of about 7.6 points in favor of Crvena Zvezda and a total around 172 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+1.8 vs -2.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Paris needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Paris' offense (88.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Crvena Zvezda's defense allows clearly fewer points (81.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
PBBCZVRecent form
PBB
94-96L
96-98W
82-78L
79-92L
72-91CZV84-82W
77-58W
77-72L
80-81L77-83Team comparison
| PBB | CZV | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-4 | Record | 3-2 |
| 88.0 | Points scored / game | 84.0 |
| 91.0 | Points allowed / game | 81.9 |
| -2.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.8 |
| L2 | Current streak | W3 |
| 1-4 | Last 10 games | 3-2 |
| 0-1 road | Home / road record | 1-2 home |
| 15-23 (-0.9) | Last season | 21-18 (+1.1) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.