Crvena Zvezda vs Paris prediction EuroLeague · Wednesday, December 30
At a glance
Paris Basketball (3-6) host Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (6-3) on Wednesday, December 30 at 2:45 PM ET at ACCOR ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade a 62% chance to win and projects a 89-85 score (Crvena Zvezda – Paris), about 174 total points. This season, Paris Basketball are 1-4 at home and Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-6 for Paris Basketball and 6-3 for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (current streaks: Paris W2, Crvena Zvezda W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 32% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Crvena Zvezda is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Paris 85 – 89 Crvena Zvezda, a margin of about 3.5 points in favor of Crvena Zvezda and a total around 174 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-2.4 vs +4.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Paris needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Crvena Zvezda's defense allows clearly fewer points (81.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
CZVPBB
Recent form
CZV
103-73W
100-78L
82-85W90-81W
84-82PBB99-94W
99-93L
93-104L81-90L
94-96Team comparison
| CZV | PBB | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | Record | 3-6 |
| 86.3 | Points scored / game | 89.1 |
| 81.3 | Points allowed / game | 92.0 |
| +4.3 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.4 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 6-3 | Last 10 games | 3-6 |
| 2-1 road | Home / road record | 1-4 home |
| 21-18 (+1.1) | Last season | 15-23 (-0.9) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.