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Bayern Munich vs Besiktas prediction EuroLeague · Friday, October 16

FinalTURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER
31% win BAYwin BJK 69%
FavoriteBJK
Projected margin5.6
Projected total172
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

Besiktas Istanbul (2-3) host FC Bayern Munich (2-3) on Friday, October 16 at 1:00 PM ET at TURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER in EuroLeague action. Final score: Bayern Munich 87 – Besiktas 95. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Besiktas Istanbul a 69% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, Besiktas Istanbul are 0-2 at home and FC Bayern Munich are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-3 for Besiktas Istanbul and 2-3 for FC Bayern Munich (current streaks: Besiktas L1, Bayern Munich W1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to Besiktas, but Bayern Munich has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Besiktas 89 – 83 Bayern Munich, a margin of about 5.6 points in favor of Besiktas and a total around 172 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • Bayern Munich needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Besiktas' offense (87.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Besiktas
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BJK -0.6 / BAY -3.0 per game
+2.4
Home-court advantageBesiktas at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Besiktas
+5.6

Scenarios

Besiktas win by 10+
35%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Bayern Munich win by 10+
9%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

BAYBJK
83.1
Points scored / game
87.0
86.7
Points allowed / game
87.7
-3.0
Adjusted margin / game
-0.6
40 %
Win %
40 %
0
Home wins
0
2
Road wins
2

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
BAY
WAnadolu Efes Istanbul101-93LVirtus Bologna87-94LPartizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade84-86LFenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul76-100WHapoel IBI Tel Aviv86-84
BJK
LHapoel IBI Tel Aviv82-100WKosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz92-84LFC Barcelona82-95WMaccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv109-93LValencia Basket94-96

Team comparison

BAYBJK
2-3Record2-3
83.1Points scored / game87.0
86.7Points allowed / game87.7
-3.0Adjusted margin / game-0.6
W1Current streakL1
2-3Last 10 games2-3
2-1 roadHome / road record0-2 home
17-21 (-2.9)Last season–

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.