Besiktas vs Bayern Munich prediction EuroLeague · Wednesday, December 30
At a glance
FC Bayern Munich (2-7) host Besiktas Istanbul (3-5) on Wednesday, December 30 at 2:00 PM ET at SAP GARDEN in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Besiktas Istanbul a 54% chance to win and projects a 87-86 score (Besiktas – Bayern Munich), about 173 total points. This season, FC Bayern Munich are 0-4 at home and Besiktas Istanbul are 2-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-7 for FC Bayern Munich and 3-5 for Besiktas Istanbul (current streaks: Bayern Munich L4, Besiktas L2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Bayern Munich 86 – 87 Besiktas, a margin of about 1.1 points in favor of Besiktas and a total around 173 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-5.2 vs -1.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Bayern Munich needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
BJKBAY
Recent form
BJK
73-81L
80-89W95-87L
82-100W
92-84BAY
73-103L
84-88L
91-107L87-95W101-93Head-to-head
Team comparison
| BJK | BAY | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | Record | 2-7 |
| 86.2 | Points scored / game | 83.3 |
| 87.3 | Points allowed / game | 89.4 |
| -1.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -5.2 |
| L2 | Current streak | L4 |
| 3-5 | Last 10 games | 2-7 |
| 2-2 road | Home / road record | 0-4 home |
| – | Last season | 17-21 (-2.9) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.