Partizan vs Fenerbahce prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, October 15
At a glance
Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (4-1) host Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (3-2) on Thursday, October 15 at 1:45 PM ET at ULKER SPORTS AND EVENT HALL in EuroLeague action. Final score: Partizan 65 – Fenerbahce 74. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul a 79% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul are 4-0 at home and Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-1 for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul and 3-2 for Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (current streaks: Fenerbahce W1, Partizan L2).
The analysis Model
Fenerbahce starts with a clear edge. The model projects Fenerbahce 86 – 77 Partizan, a margin of about 9.2 points in favor of Fenerbahce and a total around 164 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (+3.7 vs -2.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Partizan needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Fenerbahce's defense allows clearly fewer points (78.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
PARFBTRecent form
PAR
55-72L
76-86W
86-84W
92-79W
92-76FBT
99-80L74-92W
76-66W100-76W
78-68Team comparison
| PAR | FBT | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | Record | 4-1 |
| 81.1 | Points scored / game | 83.3 |
| 83.8 | Points allowed / game | 78.9 |
| -2.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.7 |
| L2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 3-2 | Last 10 games | 4-1 |
| 2-1 road | Home / road record | 4-0 home |
| 16-22 (-4.9) | Last season | 27-16 (+1.4) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.