Fenerbahce vs Partizan prediction EuroLeague · Friday, January 15
At a glance
Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (4-4) host Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (6-3) on Friday, January 15 at 2:45 PM ET at BELGRADE ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul a 55% chance to win and projects a 81-80 score (Fenerbahce – Partizan), about 161 total points. This season, Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade are 2-1 at home and Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul are 1-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-4 for Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade and 6-3 for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (current streaks: Partizan L1, Fenerbahce L2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Partizan 80 – 81 Fenerbahce, a margin of about 1.4 points in favor of Fenerbahce and a total around 161 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (-2.6 vs +2.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Partizan needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Fenerbahce's defense allows clearly fewer points (78.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
FBTPAR
Recent form
FBT
76-95L
78-86W
64-61W74-65W
99-80PAR
75-82W
85-82L65-74L
55-72L76-86Team comparison
| FBT | PAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | Record | 4-4 |
| 80.8 | Points scored / game | 79.9 |
| 78.4 | Points allowed / game | 83.0 |
| +2.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.6 |
| L2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 6-3 | Last 10 games | 4-4 |
| 1-3 road | Home / road record | 2-1 home |
| 27-16 (+1.4) | Last season | 16-22 (-4.9) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.