Virtus Bologna vs Paris prediction EuroLeague · Wednesday, October 14
At a glance
Paris Basketball (1-3) host Virtus Bologna (2-2) on Wednesday, October 14 at 2:45 PM ET at ADIDAS ARENA in EuroLeague action. Final score: Virtus Bologna 96 – Paris 94. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Paris Basketball a 62% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, Paris Basketball are 1-2 at home and Virtus Bologna are 1-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-3 for Paris Basketball and 2-2 for Virtus Bologna (current streaks: Paris L1, Virtus Bologna W2).
The analysis Model
Paris is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Paris 89 – 85 Virtus Bologna, a margin of about 3.4 points in favor of Paris and a total around 174 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- Virtus Bologna needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Paris' offense (87.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Virtus Bologna's defense allows clearly fewer points (86.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
VIRPBB
Recent form
VIR
94-87W
96-94L
85-87L
68-78PBB
96-98W
82-78L
79-92L
72-91Team comparison
| VIR | PBB | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-2 | Record | 1-3 |
| 83.1 | Points scored / game | 87.5 |
| 86.5 | Points allowed / game | 90.5 |
| -2.8 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.6 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 2-2 | Last 10 games | 1-3 |
| 1-2 road | Home / road record | 1-2 home |
| 14-24 (-4.6) | Last season | 15-23 (-0.9) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.