Paris vs Virtus Bologna prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, January 28
At a glance
Virtus Bologna (4-4) host Paris Basketball (3-6) on Thursday, January 28 at 2:30 PM ET at VIRTUS ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Virtus Bologna a 59% chance to win and projects a 87-89 score (Paris – Virtus Bologna), about 176 total points. This season, Virtus Bologna are 2-1 at home and Paris Basketball are 2-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-4 for Virtus Bologna and 3-6 for Paris Basketball (current streaks: Virtus Bologna L2, Paris W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Virtus Bologna is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Virtus Bologna 89 – 87 Paris, a margin of about 2.6 points in favor of Virtus Bologna and a total around 176 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- Paris needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Paris' offense (89.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Virtus Bologna's defense allows clearly fewer points (86.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
PBBVIR
Recent form
PBB
99-94W
99-93L
93-104L
81-90L94-96VIR
74-91L
81-90W
86-78W96-94W
94-87Team comparison
| PBB | VIR | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-6 | Record | 4-4 |
| 89.1 | Points scored / game | 83.4 |
| 92.0 | Points allowed / game | 86.9 |
| -2.4 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.0 |
| W2 | Current streak | L2 |
| 3-6 | Last 10 games | 4-4 |
| 2-2 road | Home / road record | 2-1 home |
| 15-23 (-0.9) | Last season | 14-24 (-4.6) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.