Olympiacos vs Baskonia prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, September 24
At a glance
Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz host Olympiacos Piraeus on Thursday, September 24 at 2:30 PM ET at BUESA ARENA in EuroLeague action. Final score: Olympiacos 106 – Baskonia 89. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Olympiacos Piraeus a 75% chance to win: prediction correct.
The analysis Model
On paper, Olympiacos dominates this matchup. The model projects Baskonia 85 – 92 Olympiacos, a margin of about 7.7 points in favor of Olympiacos and a total around 177 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-4.0 vs +6.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Baskonia needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Olympiacos' defense allows clearly fewer points (82.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
OLYKBAEarly season: the numbers also lean on last season.
Recent form
OLYKBATeam comparison
| OLY | KBA | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 90.5 | Points scored / game | 88.3 |
| 82.4 | Points allowed / game | 93.1 |
| +6.8 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.0 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 31-12 (+8.0) | Last season | 13-25 (-4.7) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.