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Baskonia vs Olympiacos prediction EuroLeague · Wednesday, January 13

Wed, Jan 13 · 2:15 PM ETPEACE AND FRIENDSHIP STADIUM
8% win KBAwin OLY 92%
FavoriteOLY
Projected margin16.0
Projected total177
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

Olympiacos Piraeus (6-2) host Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (1-7) on Wednesday, January 13 at 2:15 PM ET at PEACE AND FRIENDSHIP STADIUM in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Olympiacos Piraeus a 92% chance to win and projects a 80-97 score (Baskonia – Olympiacos), about 177 total points. This season, Olympiacos Piraeus are 1-1 at home and Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz are 0-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for Olympiacos Piraeus and 1-7 for Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (current streaks: Olympiacos W1, Baskonia L5). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 14% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.

The analysis Model

Olympiacos starts with a clear edge. The model projects Olympiacos 97 – 80 Baskonia, a margin of about 16.0 points in favor of Olympiacos and a total around 177 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (+6.3 vs -6.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • Baskonia needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Olympiacos' offense (90.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • Olympiacos' defense allows clearly fewer points (83.5 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Olympiacos
Team strength (adjusted point differential)OLY +6.3 / KBA -6.5 per game
+12.8
Home-court advantageOlympiacos at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Olympiacos
+16.0

Scenarios

Olympiacos win by 10+
70%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
14%
Baskonia win by 10+
1%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

KBAOLY
86.0
Points scored / game
90.9
93.6
Points allowed / game
83.5
-6.5
Adjusted margin / game
6.3
13 %
Win %
75 %
1
Home wins
1
0
Road wins
5

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
KBA
LReal Madrid86-104LPanathinaikos AKTOR Athens79-85LVirtus Bologna78-86LDubai Basketball79-93LBesiktas Istanbul84-92
OLY
WBesiktas Istanbul81-73LFenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul61-64WFC Barcelona105-100WValencia Basket102-97WAnadolu Efes Istanbul89-66

Team comparison

KBAOLY
1-7Record6-2
86.0Points scored / game90.9
93.6Points allowed / game83.5
-6.5Adjusted margin / game+6.3
L5Current streakW1
1-7Last 10 games6-2
0-3 roadHome / road record1-1 home
13-25 (-4.7)Last season31-12 (+8.0)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.