Baskonia vs Olympiacos prediction EuroLeague · Wednesday, January 13
At a glance
Olympiacos Piraeus (6-2) host Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (1-7) on Wednesday, January 13 at 2:15 PM ET at PEACE AND FRIENDSHIP STADIUM in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Olympiacos Piraeus a 92% chance to win and projects a 80-97 score (Baskonia – Olympiacos), about 177 total points. This season, Olympiacos Piraeus are 1-1 at home and Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz are 0-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for Olympiacos Piraeus and 1-7 for Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (current streaks: Olympiacos W1, Baskonia L5). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 14% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
Olympiacos starts with a clear edge. The model projects Olympiacos 97 – 80 Baskonia, a margin of about 16.0 points in favor of Olympiacos and a total around 177 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+6.3 vs -6.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Baskonia needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Olympiacos' offense (90.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Olympiacos' defense allows clearly fewer points (83.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
KBAOLY
Recent form
KBA
86-104L
79-85L
78-86L
79-93L
84-92
OLY
81-73L
61-64W
105-100W
102-97W
89-66Team comparison
| KBA | OLY | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-7 | Record | 6-2 |
| 86.0 | Points scored / game | 90.9 |
| 93.6 | Points allowed / game | 83.5 |
| -6.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.3 |
| L5 | Current streak | W1 |
| 1-7 | Last 10 games | 6-2 |
| 0-3 road | Home / road record | 1-1 home |
| 13-25 (-4.7) | Last season | 31-12 (+8.0) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.