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Bayern Munich vs Anadolu Efes prediction EuroLeague · Wednesday, October 14

FinalTURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER
40% win BAYwin EFS 60%
FavoriteEFS
Projected margin2.9
Projected total166
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

Anadolu Efes Istanbul (1-3) host FC Bayern Munich (1-3) on Wednesday, October 14 at 1:30 PM ET at TURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER in EuroLeague action. Final score: Bayern Munich 101 – Anadolu Efes 93. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Anadolu Efes Istanbul a 60% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, Anadolu Efes Istanbul are 1-0 at home and FC Bayern Munich are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-3 for Anadolu Efes Istanbul and 1-3 for FC Bayern Munich (current streaks: Anadolu Efes L2, Bayern Munich L3).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to Anadolu Efes, but Bayern Munich has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Anadolu Efes 84 – 82 Bayern Munich, a margin of about 2.9 points in favor of Anadolu Efes and a total around 166 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • Bayern Munich needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Anadolu Efes
Team strength (adjusted point differential)EFS -4.2 / BAY -3.8 per game
-0.3
Home-court advantageAnadolu Efes at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Anadolu Efes
+2.9

Scenarios

Anadolu Efes win by 10+
27%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
33%
Bayern Munich win by 10+
13%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

BAYEFS
81.6
Points scored / game
79.6
86.1
Points allowed / game
84.5
-3.8
Adjusted margin / game
-4.2
25 %
Win %
25 %
0
Home wins
1
1
Road wins
0

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
BAY
LVirtus Bologna87-94LPartizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade84-86LFenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul76-100WHapoel IBI Tel Aviv86-84
EFS
LOlympiacos Piraeus66-89LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade72-77WReal Madrid94-84LFC Barcelona82-89

Team comparison

BAYEFS
1-3Record1-3
81.6Points scored / game79.6
86.1Points allowed / game84.5
-3.8Adjusted margin / game-4.2
L3Current streakL2
1-3Last 10 games1-3
1-1 roadHome / road record1-0 home
17-21 (-2.9)Last season12-26 (-4.2)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.