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Anadolu Efes vs Bayern Munich prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, March 9

Tue, Mar 9 · 2:00 PM ETSAP GARDEN
44% win EFSwin BAY 56%
FavoriteBAY
Projected margin1.9
Projected total170
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

FC Bayern Munich (2-7) host Anadolu Efes Istanbul (3-5) on Tuesday, March 9 at 2:00 PM ET at SAP GARDEN in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives FC Bayern Munich a 56% chance to win and projects a 84-86 score (Anadolu Efes – Bayern Munich), about 170 total points. This season, FC Bayern Munich are 0-4 at home and Anadolu Efes Istanbul are 1-4 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-7 for FC Bayern Munich and 3-5 for Anadolu Efes Istanbul (current streaks: Bayern Munich L4, Anadolu Efes L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Bayern Munich 86 – 84 Anadolu Efes, a margin of about 1.9 points in favor of Bayern Munich and a total around 170 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.

  • Anadolu Efes needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bayern Munich
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BAY -5.2 / EFS -3.9 per game
-1.3
Home-court advantageBayern Munich at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Bayern Munich
+1.9

Scenarios

Bayern Munich win by 10+
24%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
33%
Anadolu Efes win by 10+
15%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

EFSBAY
81.9
Points scored / game
83.3
86.4
Points allowed / game
89.4
-3.9
Adjusted margin / game
-5.2
38 %
Win %
22 %
2
Home wins
0
1
Road wins
2

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
EFS
LHapoel IBI Tel Aviv88-118WBesiktas Istanbul89-80WZalgiris Kaunas85-70LFC Bayern Munich93-101LOlympiacos Piraeus66-89
BAY
LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade73-103LFC Barcelona84-88LDubai Basketball91-107LBesiktas Istanbul87-95WAnadolu Efes Istanbul101-93

Team comparison

EFSBAY
3-5Record2-7
81.9Points scored / game83.3
86.4Points allowed / game89.4
-3.9Adjusted margin / game-5.2
L1Current streakL4
3-5Last 10 games2-7
1-4 roadHome / road record0-4 home
12-26 (-4.2)Last season17-21 (-2.9)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.