Panathinaikos vs Partizan prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, October 13
At a glance
Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (3-1) host Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens (4-0) on Tuesday, October 13 at 2:30 PM ET at BELGRADE ARENA in EuroLeague action. Final score: Panathinaikos 72 – Partizan 55. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens a 67% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade are 1-0 at home. Since the start of the season: 3-1 for Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade and 4-0 for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens (current streaks: Partizan L1, Panathinaikos W4).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to Panathinaikos, but Partizan has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Partizan 82 – 87 Panathinaikos, a margin of about 4.9 points in favor of Panathinaikos and a total around 169 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-1.3 vs +6.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Partizan needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Panathinaikos' offense (89.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Panathinaikos' defense allows clearly fewer points (81.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
PAOPARRecent form
PAO
92-74W
90-67W
102-79W
91-72PAR
76-86W
86-84W92-79W
92-76Team comparison
| PAO | PAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-0 | Record | 3-1 |
| 89.0 | Points scored / game | 83.2 |
| 81.0 | Points allowed / game | 84.8 |
| +6.8 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.3 |
| W4 | Current streak | L1 |
| 4-0 | Last 10 games | 3-1 |
| 0-0 road | Home / road record | 1-0 home |
| 25-19 (+1.7) | Last season | 16-22 (-4.9) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.