Partizan vs Panathinaikos prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, March 25
At a glance
Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens (7-1) host Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (4-4) on Thursday, March 25 at 3:15 PM ET at TELEKOM CENTER ATHENS in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens a 85% chance to win and projects a 76-88 score (Partizan – Panathinaikos), about 165 total points. This season, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens are 6-1 at home and Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade are 2-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 7-1 for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens and 4-4 for Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (current streaks: Panathinaikos W2, Partizan L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 20% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
Panathinaikos starts with a clear edge. The model projects Panathinaikos 88 – 76 Partizan, a margin of about 11.9 points in favor of Panathinaikos and a total around 165 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (+6.1 vs -2.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Partizan needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Panathinaikos' offense (86.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Panathinaikos' defense allows clearly fewer points (79.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
PARPAO
Recent form
PAR
75-82W
85-82L
65-74L55-72L
76-86PAO
80-75W
85-79L
81-91W72-55W92-74Team comparison
| PAR | PAO | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | Record | 7-1 |
| 79.9 | Points scored / game | 86.6 |
| 83.0 | Points allowed / game | 79.5 |
| -2.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.1 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 4-4 | Last 10 games | 7-1 |
| 2-3 road | Home / road record | 6-1 home |
| 16-22 (-4.9) | Last season | 25-19 (+1.7) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.