Zalgiris vs Fenerbahce prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, October 13
At a glance
Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (3-1) host Zalgiris Kaunas (2-2) on Tuesday, October 13 at 1:45 PM ET at ULKER SPORTS AND EVENT HALL in EuroLeague action. Final score: Zalgiris 80 – Fenerbahce 99. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul are 3-0 at home and Zalgiris Kaunas are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-1 for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul and 2-2 for Zalgiris Kaunas (current streaks: Fenerbahce L1, Zalgiris W1).
The analysis Model
Fenerbahce is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Fenerbahce 84 – 81 Zalgiris, a margin of about 3.2 points in favor of Fenerbahce and a total around 165 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- Zalgiris needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Zalgiris' offense (86.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Fenerbahce's defense allows clearly fewer points (78.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
ZALFBT
Recent form
ZAL
88-81L
78-82L
91-93W
83-77FBT
74-92W
76-66W
100-76W
78-68Team comparison
| ZAL | FBT | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-2 | Record | 3-1 |
| 86.3 | Points scored / game | 81.9 |
| 83.2 | Points allowed / game | 78.9 |
| +2.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.6 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 2-2 | Last 10 games | 3-1 |
| 2-1 road | Home / road record | 3-0 home |
| 24-18 (+3.8) | Last season | 27-16 (+1.4) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.