Fenerbahce vs Zalgiris prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, April 15
At a glance
Zalgiris Kaunas (4-4) host Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (6-3) on Thursday, April 15 at 1:00 PM ET at ZALGIRIO ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Zalgiris Kaunas a 61% chance to win and projects a 81-84 score (Fenerbahce – Zalgiris), about 165 total points. This season, Zalgiris Kaunas are 1-2 at home and Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul are 1-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-4 for Zalgiris Kaunas and 6-3 for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (current streaks: Zalgiris W2, Fenerbahce L2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 32% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to Zalgiris, but Fenerbahce has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Zalgiris 84 – 81 Fenerbahce, a margin of about 3.3 points in favor of Zalgiris and a total around 165 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- Fenerbahce needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Zalgiris' offense (86.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Fenerbahce's defense allows clearly fewer points (78.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
FBTZAL
Recent form
FBT
76-95L
78-86W
64-61W
74-65W99-80ZAL
91-74W
105-85L
70-85L80-99W
88-81Team comparison
| FBT | ZAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | Record | 4-4 |
| 80.8 | Points scored / game | 86.4 |
| 78.4 | Points allowed / game | 83.8 |
| +2.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.2 |
| L2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 6-3 | Last 10 games | 4-4 |
| 1-3 road | Home / road record | 1-2 home |
| 27-16 (+1.4) | Last season | 24-18 (+3.8) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.