Olympiacos vs Valencia prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, October 13
At a glance
Valencia Basket (4-0) host Olympiacos Piraeus (3-1) on Tuesday, October 13 at 3:00 PM ET at ROIG ARENA in EuroLeague action. Final score: Olympiacos 102 – Valencia 97. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Valencia Basket a 56% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, Valencia Basket are 2-0 at home and Olympiacos Piraeus are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-0 for Valencia Basket and 3-1 for Olympiacos Piraeus (current streaks: Valencia W4, Olympiacos W1).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Valencia 90 – 88 Olympiacos, a margin of about 1.6 points in favor of Valencia and a total around 178 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- Olympiacos needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Olympiacos' defense allows clearly fewer points (83.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
OLYVBC
Recent form
OLY
89-66L
94-96W
93-91W
106-89VBC
93-82W
105-92W111-88W
96-94Team comparison
| OLY | VBC | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | Record | 4-0 |
| 92.2 | Points scored / game | 94.0 |
| 83.5 | Points allowed / game | 87.2 |
| +7.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.8 |
| W1 | Current streak | W4 |
| 3-1 | Last 10 games | 4-0 |
| 2-1 road | Home / road record | 2-0 home |
| 31-12 (+8.0) | Last season | 28-16 (+4.1) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.