Valencia vs Olympiacos prediction EuroLeague · Friday, April 16
At a glance
Olympiacos Piraeus (6-2) host Valencia Basket (6-2) on Friday, April 16 at 2:15 PM ET at PEACE AND FRIENDSHIP STADIUM in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Olympiacos Piraeus a 66% chance to win and projects a 87-91 score (Valencia – Olympiacos), about 178 total points. This season, Olympiacos Piraeus are 1-1 at home and Valencia Basket are 3-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for Olympiacos Piraeus and 6-2 for Valencia Basket (current streaks: Olympiacos W1, Valencia W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Olympiacos is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Olympiacos 91 – 87 Valencia, a margin of about 4.6 points in favor of Olympiacos and a total around 178 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- Valencia needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Valencia's offense (93.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Olympiacos' defense allows clearly fewer points (83.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
VBCOLY
Recent form
VBC
86-78W
104-93L
88-91L97-102W
93-82OLY
81-73L61-64W
105-100W102-97W
89-66Team comparison
| VBC | OLY | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | Record | 6-2 |
| 93.9 | Points scored / game | 90.9 |
| 88.1 | Points allowed / game | 83.5 |
| +4.9 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.3 |
| W2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 6-2 | Last 10 games | 6-2 |
| 3-0 road | Home / road record | 1-1 home |
| 28-16 (+4.1) | Last season | 31-12 (+8.0) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.