Maccabi vs FC Barcelona prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, October 13
At a glance
FC Barcelona (2-2) host Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (1-3) on Tuesday, October 13 at 2:30 PM ET at PALAU BLAUGRANA in EuroLeague action. Final score: Maccabi 87 – FC Barcelona 90. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave FC Barcelona a 75% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, FC Barcelona are 1-1 at home and Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-2 for FC Barcelona and 1-3 for Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (current streaks: FC Barcelona L1, Maccabi W1).
The analysis Model
FC Barcelona starts with a clear edge. The model projects FC Barcelona 91 – 84 Maccabi, a margin of about 7.7 points in favor of FC Barcelona and a total around 175 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+0.9 vs -3.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Maccabi needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- FC Barcelona's defense allows clearly fewer points (84.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
MTABAR
Recent form
MTA
97-79L
67-90L
93-109L
74-84BAR
81-88W95-82L
87-94W
89-82Team comparison
| MTA | BAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | Record | 2-2 |
| 87.7 | Points scored / game | 85.5 |
| 91.9 | Points allowed / game | 84.5 |
| -3.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.9 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 1-3 | Last 10 games | 2-2 |
| 0-2 road | Home / road record | 1-1 home |
| 18-20 (-2.5) | Last season | 22-18 (+0.8) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.