FC Barcelona vs Maccabi prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, February 11
At a glance
Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (2-7) host FC Barcelona (5-3) on Thursday, February 11 at 2:05 PM ET at ALEKSANDAR NIKOLIC HALL in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives FC Barcelona a 59% chance to win and projects a 90-87 score (FC Barcelona – Maccabi), about 177 total points. This season, Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv are 1-3 at home and FC Barcelona are 3-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-7 for Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv and 5-3 for FC Barcelona (current streaks: Maccabi L3, FC Barcelona W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to FC Barcelona, but Maccabi has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Maccabi 87 – 90 FC Barcelona, a margin of about 2.6 points in favor of FC Barcelona and a total around 177 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-4.6 vs +1.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Maccabi needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- FC Barcelona's defense allows clearly fewer points (85.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
BARMTA
Recent form
BAR
88-84W
89-81L
100-105W90-87L
81-88MTA
94-99L
78-100L
99-113W
91-88L87-90Team comparison
| BAR | MTA | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | Record | 2-7 |
| 87.1 | Points scored / game | 88.3 |
| 85.7 | Points allowed / game | 93.7 |
| +1.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.6 |
| W2 | Current streak | L3 |
| 5-3 | Last 10 games | 2-7 |
| 3-1 road | Home / road record | 1-3 home |
| 22-18 (+0.8) | Last season | 18-20 (-2.5) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.