Crvena Zvezda vs LDLC ASVEL prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, October 13
At a glance
LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne (2-2) host Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (2-2) on Tuesday, October 13 at 2:00 PM ET at ASTROBALLE in EuroLeague action. Final score: Crvena Zvezda 84 – LDLC ASVEL 82. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade a 65% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne are 1-1 at home and Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade are 1-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-2 for LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne and 2-2 for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (current streaks: LDLC ASVEL W1, Crvena Zvezda W2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to Crvena Zvezda, but LDLC ASVEL has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects LDLC ASVEL 82 – 87 Crvena Zvezda, a margin of about 4.4 points in favor of Crvena Zvezda and a total around 169 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-5.8 vs +1.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- LDLC ASVEL needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Crvena Zvezda's defense allows clearly fewer points (81.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
CZVASVRecent form
CZV
77-58W
77-72L
80-81L
77-83ASV
98-96L
92-105L
79-102W
84-74Team comparison
| CZV | ASV | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-2 | Record | 2-2 |
| 84.0 | Points scored / game | 82.3 |
| 81.9 | Points allowed / game | 89.1 |
| +1.8 | Adjusted margin / game | -5.8 |
| W2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 2-2 | Last 10 games | 2-2 |
| 1-0 road | Home / road record | 1-1 home |
| 21-18 (+1.1) | Last season | 8-30 (-7.3) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.