LDLC ASVEL vs Crvena Zvezda prediction EuroLeague · Friday, January 8
At a glance
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (6-3) host LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne (3-5) on Friday, January 8 at 2:00 PM ET at BELGRADE ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade a 88% chance to win and projects a 78-92 score (LDLC ASVEL – Crvena Zvezda), about 170 total points. This season, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade are 4-2 at home and LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne are 1-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-3 for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade and 3-5 for LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne (current streaks: Crvena Zvezda W2, LDLC ASVEL W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 17% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
On paper, Crvena Zvezda dominates this matchup. The model projects Crvena Zvezda 92 – 78 LDLC ASVEL, a margin of about 13.7 points in favor of Crvena Zvezda and a total around 170 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (+4.3 vs -6.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- LDLC ASVEL needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Crvena Zvezda's offense (86.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Crvena Zvezda's defense allows clearly fewer points (81.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
ASVCZV
Recent form
ASV
82-75L
85-105L
92-111L82-84W
98-96CZV
103-73W
100-78L82-85W90-81W84-82Team comparison
| ASV | CZV | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | Record | 6-3 |
| 83.0 | Points scored / game | 86.3 |
| 90.3 | Points allowed / game | 81.3 |
| -6.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.3 |
| W1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 3-5 | Last 10 games | 6-3 |
| 1-3 road | Home / road record | 4-2 home |
| 8-30 (-7.3) | Last season | 21-18 (+1.1) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.