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Anadolu Efes vs FC Barcelona prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, September 24

FinalPALAU BLAUGRANA
26% win EFSwin BAR 74%
FavoriteBAR
Projected margin7.5
Projected total166
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

FC Barcelona host Anadolu Efes Istanbul on Thursday, September 24 at 2:30 PM ET at PALAU BLAUGRANA in EuroLeague action. Final score: Anadolu Efes 82 – FC Barcelona 89. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave FC Barcelona a 74% chance to win: prediction correct.

The analysis Model

FC Barcelona starts with a clear edge. The model projects FC Barcelona 87 – 79 Anadolu Efes, a margin of about 7.5 points in favor of FC Barcelona and a total around 166 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The overall strength gap (+0.7 vs -3.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • Anadolu Efes needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • FC Barcelona's offense (84.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge FC Barcelona
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BAR +0.7 / EFS -3.6 per game
+4.3
Home-court advantageFC Barcelona at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor FC Barcelona
+7.5

Scenarios

FC Barcelona win by 10+
41%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Anadolu Efes win by 10+
6%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

EFSBAR
80.1
Points scored / game
84.3
84.3
Points allowed / game
83.5
-3.6
Adjusted margin / game
0.7

Early season: the numbers also lean on last season.

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
EFS
No games played yet.
BAR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

EFSBAR
0-0Record0-0
80.1Points scored / game84.3
84.3Points allowed / game83.5
-3.6Adjusted margin / game+0.7
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
12-26 (-4.2)Last season22-18 (+0.8)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.