FC Barcelona vs Anadolu Efes prediction EuroLeague · Wednesday, December 30
At a glance
Anadolu Efes Istanbul (3-5) host FC Barcelona (5-3) on Wednesday, December 30 at 12:30 PM ET at TURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives FC Barcelona a 56% chance to win and projects a 86-84 score (FC Barcelona – Anadolu Efes), about 171 total points. This season, Anadolu Efes Istanbul are 2-1 at home and FC Barcelona are 3-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for Anadolu Efes Istanbul and 5-3 for FC Barcelona (current streaks: Anadolu Efes L1, FC Barcelona W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Anadolu Efes 84 – 86 FC Barcelona, a margin of about 1.9 points in favor of FC Barcelona and a total around 171 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (-3.9 vs +1.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Anadolu Efes needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- FC Barcelona's offense (87.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
BAREFS
Recent form
BAR
88-84W
89-81L
100-105W
90-87L
81-88EFS
88-118W
89-80W85-70L93-101L66-89Team comparison
| BAR | EFS | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | Record | 3-5 |
| 87.1 | Points scored / game | 81.9 |
| 85.7 | Points allowed / game | 86.4 |
| +1.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.9 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 5-3 | Last 10 games | 3-5 |
| 3-1 road | Home / road record | 2-1 home |
| 22-18 (+0.8) | Last season | 12-26 (-4.2) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.