Zalgiris vs FC Barcelona prediction EuroLeague · Friday, October 9
At a glance
FC Barcelona (2-1) host Zalgiris Kaunas (1-2) on Friday, October 9 at 2:30 PM ET at PALAU BLAUGRANA in EuroLeague action. Final score: Zalgiris 88 – FC Barcelona 81. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave FC Barcelona a 58% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, FC Barcelona are 1-0 at home and Zalgiris Kaunas are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-1 for FC Barcelona and 1-2 for Zalgiris Kaunas (current streaks: FC Barcelona W1, Zalgiris L2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to FC Barcelona, but Zalgiris has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects FC Barcelona 86 – 84 Zalgiris, a margin of about 2.4 points in favor of FC Barcelona and a total around 170 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- Zalgiris needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
ZALBAR
Recent form
ZAL
78-82L
91-93W
83-77BAR
95-82L
87-94W
89-82Team comparison
| ZAL | BAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | Record | 2-1 |
| 86.2 | Points scored / game | 85.9 |
| 83.4 | Points allowed / game | 84.1 |
| +2.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.5 |
| L2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 1-2 | Last 10 games | 2-1 |
| 1-1 road | Home / road record | 1-0 home |
| 24-18 (+3.8) | Last season | 22-18 (+0.8) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.