FC Barcelona vs Zalgiris prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, March 9
At a glance
Zalgiris Kaunas (4-4) host FC Barcelona (5-3) on Tuesday, March 9 at 1:00 PM ET at ZALGIRIO ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Zalgiris Kaunas a 64% chance to win and projects a 84-88 score (FC Barcelona – Zalgiris), about 171 total points. This season, Zalgiris Kaunas are 1-2 at home and FC Barcelona are 3-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-4 for Zalgiris Kaunas and 5-3 for FC Barcelona (current streaks: Zalgiris W2, FC Barcelona W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 32% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Zalgiris is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Zalgiris 88 – 84 FC Barcelona, a margin of about 4.1 points in favor of Zalgiris and a total around 171 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- FC Barcelona needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
BARZAL
Recent form
BAR
88-84W
89-81L
100-105W
90-87L81-88ZAL
91-74W
105-85L
70-85L
80-99W88-81Team comparison
| BAR | ZAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | Record | 4-4 |
| 87.1 | Points scored / game | 86.4 |
| 85.7 | Points allowed / game | 83.8 |
| +1.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.2 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 5-3 | Last 10 games | 4-4 |
| 3-1 road | Home / road record | 1-2 home |
| 22-18 (+0.8) | Last season | 24-18 (+3.8) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.