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Bayern Munich vs Paris prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, April 15

Thu, Apr 15 · 2:45 PM ETADIDAS ARENA
30% win BAYwin PBB 70%
FavoritePBB
Projected margin6.0
Projected total177
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

Paris Basketball (3-6) host FC Bayern Munich (2-7) on Thursday, April 15 at 2:45 PM ET at ADIDAS ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Paris Basketball a 70% chance to win and projects a 85-91 score (Bayern Munich – Paris), about 177 total points. This season, Paris Basketball are 1-4 at home and FC Bayern Munich are 2-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-6 for Paris Basketball and 2-7 for FC Bayern Munich (current streaks: Paris W2, Bayern Munich L4). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to Paris, but Bayern Munich has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Paris 91 – 85 Bayern Munich, a margin of about 6.0 points in favor of Paris and a total around 177 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • Bayern Munich needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Paris' offense (89.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Paris
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PBB -2.4 / BAY -5.2 per game
+2.8
Home-court advantageParis at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Paris
+6.0

Scenarios

Paris win by 10+
36%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Bayern Munich win by 10+
8%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

BAYPBB
83.3
Points scored / game
89.1
89.4
Points allowed / game
92.0
-5.2
Adjusted margin / game
-2.4
22 %
Win %
33 %
0
Home wins
1
2
Road wins
2

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
BAY
LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade73-103LFC Barcelona84-88LDubai Basketball91-107LBesiktas Istanbul87-95WAnadolu Efes Istanbul101-93
PBB
WMaccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv99-94WDubai Basketball99-93LValencia Basket93-104LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade81-90LVirtus Bologna94-96

Team comparison

BAYPBB
2-7Record3-6
83.3Points scored / game89.1
89.4Points allowed / game92.0
-5.2Adjusted margin / game-2.4
L4Current streakW2
2-7Last 10 games3-6
2-3 roadHome / road record1-4 home
17-21 (-2.9)Last season15-23 (-0.9)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.