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Paris vs Bayern Munich prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, December 3

Thu, Dec 3 · 2:00 PM ETSAP GARDEN
49% win PBBwin BAY 51%
FavoriteBAY
Projected margin0.4
Projected total177
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

FC Bayern Munich (2-7) host Paris Basketball (3-6) on Thursday, December 3 at 2:00 PM ET at SAP GARDEN in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives FC Bayern Munich a 51% chance to win and projects a 88-89 score (Paris – Bayern Munich), about 177 total points. This season, FC Bayern Munich are 0-4 at home and Paris Basketball are 2-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-7 for FC Bayern Munich and 3-6 for Paris Basketball (current streaks: Bayern Munich L4, Paris W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 34% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Bayern Munich 89 – 88 Paris, a margin of about 0.4 points in favor of Bayern Munich and a total around 177 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • Paris needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Paris' offense (89.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bayern Munich
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BAY -5.2 / PBB -2.4 per game
-2.8
Home-court advantageBayern Munich at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Bayern Munich
+0.4

Scenarios

Bayern Munich win by 10+
20%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
34%
Paris win by 10+
18%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

PBBBAY
89.1
Points scored / game
83.3
92.0
Points allowed / game
89.4
-2.4
Adjusted margin / game
-5.2
33 %
Win %
22 %
1
Home wins
0
2
Road wins
2

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
PBB
WMaccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv99-94WDubai Basketball99-93LValencia Basket93-104LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade81-90LVirtus Bologna94-96
BAY
LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade73-103LFC Barcelona84-88LDubai Basketball91-107LBesiktas Istanbul87-95WAnadolu Efes Istanbul101-93

Team comparison

PBBBAY
3-6Record2-7
89.1Points scored / game83.3
92.0Points allowed / game89.4
-2.4Adjusted margin / game-5.2
W2Current streakL4
3-6Last 10 games2-7
2-2 roadHome / road record0-4 home
15-23 (-0.9)Last season17-21 (-2.9)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.