Zalgiris vs Olympiacos prediction EuroLeague · Friday, April 9
At a glance
Olympiacos Piraeus (6-2) host Zalgiris Kaunas (4-4) on Friday, April 9 at 2:15 PM ET at PEACE AND FRIENDSHIP STADIUM in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Olympiacos Piraeus a 74% chance to win and projects a 82-90 score (Zalgiris – Olympiacos), about 172 total points. This season, Olympiacos Piraeus are 1-1 at home and Zalgiris Kaunas are 3-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for Olympiacos Piraeus and 4-4 for Zalgiris Kaunas (current streaks: Olympiacos W1, Zalgiris W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 28% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
Olympiacos starts with a clear edge. The model projects Olympiacos 90 – 82 Zalgiris, a margin of about 7.4 points in favor of Olympiacos and a total around 172 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+6.3 vs +2.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Zalgiris needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Olympiacos' offense (90.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
ZALOLY
Recent form
ZAL
91-74W
105-85L
70-85L
80-99W
88-81OLY
81-73L61-64W105-100W
102-97W89-66Team comparison
| ZAL | OLY | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | Record | 6-2 |
| 86.4 | Points scored / game | 90.9 |
| 83.8 | Points allowed / game | 83.5 |
| +2.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.3 |
| W2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 4-4 | Last 10 games | 6-2 |
| 3-2 road | Home / road record | 1-1 home |
| 24-18 (+3.8) | Last season | 31-12 (+8.0) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.