Olympiacos vs Zalgiris prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, September 29
At a glance
Zalgiris Kaunas (1-0) host Olympiacos Piraeus (1-0) on Tuesday, September 29 at 1:00 PM ET at ZALGIRIO ARENA in EuroLeague action. Final score: Olympiacos 93 – Zalgiris 91. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Olympiacos Piraeus a 54% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, Olympiacos Piraeus are 1-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-0 for Zalgiris Kaunas and 1-0 for Olympiacos Piraeus (current streaks: Zalgiris W1, Olympiacos W1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Zalgiris 86 – 87 Olympiacos, a margin of about 1.0 points in favor of Olympiacos and a total around 172 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+3.4 vs +7.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Zalgiris needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Olympiacos' offense (92.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
OLYZAL
Recent form
OLY
106-89ZAL
83-77Team comparison
| OLY | ZAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| 92.2 | Points scored / game | 86.5 |
| 83.2 | Points allowed / game | 82.5 |
| +7.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.4 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 1-0 | Last 10 games | 1-0 |
| 1-0 road | Home / road record | 0-0 home |
| 31-12 (+8.0) | Last season | 24-18 (+3.8) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.