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Maccabi vs Besiktas prediction EuroLeague · Friday, April 9

Fri, Apr 9 · 1:00 PM ETTURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER
28% win MTAwin BJK 72%
FavoriteBJK
Projected margin6.9
Projected total178
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

Besiktas Istanbul (3-5) host Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (2-7) on Friday, April 9 at 1:00 PM ET at TURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Besiktas Istanbul a 72% chance to win and projects a 85-92 score (Maccabi – Besiktas), about 178 total points. This season, Besiktas Istanbul are 1-3 at home and Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv are 1-4 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for Besiktas Istanbul and 2-7 for Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (current streaks: Besiktas L2, Maccabi L3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 28% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.

The analysis Model

Besiktas starts with a clear edge. The model projects Besiktas 92 – 85 Maccabi, a margin of about 6.9 points in favor of Besiktas and a total around 178 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • Maccabi needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Besiktas' defense allows clearly fewer points (87.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Besiktas
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BJK -1.0 / MTA -4.6 per game
+3.7
Home-court advantageBesiktas at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Besiktas
+6.9

Scenarios

Besiktas win by 10+
39%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Maccabi win by 10+
7%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

MTABJK
88.3
Points scored / game
86.2
93.7
Points allowed / game
87.3
-4.6
Adjusted margin / game
-1.0
22 %
Win %
38 %
1
Home wins
1
1
Road wins
2

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
MTA
LParis Basketball94-99LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade78-100LReal Madrid99-113WValencia Basket91-88LFC Barcelona87-90
BJK
LOlympiacos Piraeus73-81LAnadolu Efes Istanbul80-89WFC Bayern Munich95-87LHapoel IBI Tel Aviv82-100WKosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz92-84

Team comparison

MTABJK
2-7Record3-5
88.3Points scored / game86.2
93.7Points allowed / game87.3
-4.6Adjusted margin / game-1.0
L3Current streakL2
2-7Last 10 games3-5
1-4 roadHome / road record1-3 home
18-20 (-2.5)Last season–

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.