Baskonia vs Milan prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, April 8
At a glance
Armani Olimpia Milan (1-7) host Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (1-7) on Thursday, April 8 at 2:30 PM ET at UNIPOL FORUM in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Armani Olimpia Milan a 69% chance to win and projects a 85-91 score (Baskonia – Milan), about 176 total points. This season, Armani Olimpia Milan are 1-3 at home and Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz are 0-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-7 for Armani Olimpia Milan and 1-7 for Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (current streaks: Milan L6, Baskonia L5). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to Milan, but Baskonia has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Milan 91 – 85 Baskonia, a margin of about 5.6 points in favor of Milan and a total around 176 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- Baskonia needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Milan's defense allows clearly fewer points (89.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
KBAMIL
Recent form
KBA
86-104L
79-85L
78-86L
79-93L
84-92MIL75-80L
81-89L97-101L89-98L
79-97Team comparison
| KBA | MIL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-7 | Record | 1-7 |
| 86.0 | Points scored / game | 84.3 |
| 93.6 | Points allowed / game | 89.1 |
| -6.5 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.1 |
| L5 | Current streak | L6 |
| 1-7 | Last 10 games | 1-7 |
| 0-3 road | Home / road record | 1-3 home |
| 13-25 (-4.7) | Last season | 17-21 (-1.2) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.