Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel TLV prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, April 8
At a glance
Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (6-2) host Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (6-3) on Thursday, April 8 at 1:00 PM ET at ARENA 8888 SOFIA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv a 60% chance to win and projects a 85-87 score (Crvena Zvezda – Hapoel TLV), about 172 total points. This season, Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv are 4-1 at home and Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv and 6-3 for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (current streaks: Hapoel TLV W4, Crvena Zvezda W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to Hapoel TLV, but Crvena Zvezda has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Hapoel TLV 87 – 85 Crvena Zvezda, a margin of about 2.9 points in favor of Hapoel TLV and a total around 172 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- Crvena Zvezda needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Hapoel TLV's offense (90.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Crvena Zvezda's defense allows clearly fewer points (81.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
CZVHTA
Recent form
CZV
103-73W
100-78L
82-85W
90-81W
84-82HTA
118-88W
90-81W
91-81W
100-82L
82-93Team comparison
| CZV | HTA | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | Record | 6-2 |
| 86.3 | Points scored / game | 90.4 |
| 81.3 | Points allowed / game | 85.8 |
| +4.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.9 |
| W2 | Current streak | W4 |
| 6-3 | Last 10 games | 6-2 |
| 2-1 road | Home / road record | 4-1 home |
| 21-18 (+1.1) | Last season | 24-18 (+1.9) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.