Fenerbahce vs Panathinaikos prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, October 8
At a glance
Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens (3-0) host Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (3-0) on Thursday, October 8 at 2:15 PM ET at TELEKOM CENTER ATHENS in EuroLeague action. Final score: Fenerbahce 74 – Panathinaikos 92. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens a 67% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens are 3-0 at home. Since the start of the season: 3-0 for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens and 3-0 for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (current streaks: Panathinaikos W3, Fenerbahce W3).
The analysis Model
Panathinaikos is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Panathinaikos 85 – 80 Fenerbahce, a margin of about 5.0 points in favor of Panathinaikos and a total around 165 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- Fenerbahce needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Panathinaikos' offense (88.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Fenerbahce's defense allows clearly fewer points (77.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
FBTPAORecent form
FBT
76-66W
100-76W
78-68PAO
90-67W
102-79W
91-72Team comparison
| FBT | PAO | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | Record | 3-0 |
| 82.7 | Points scored / game | 88.8 |
| 77.7 | Points allowed / game | 81.6 |
| +4.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.0 |
| W3 | Current streak | W3 |
| 3-0 | Last 10 games | 3-0 |
| 0-0 road | Home / road record | 3-0 home |
| 27-16 (+1.4) | Last season | 25-19 (+1.7) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.