Panathinaikos vs Fenerbahce prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, December 29
At a glance
Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (6-3) host Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens (7-1) on Tuesday, December 29 at 12:45 PM ET at ULKER SPORTS AND EVENT HALL in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens a 53% chance to win and projects a 82-81 score (Panathinaikos – Fenerbahce), about 163 total points. This season, Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul are 5-0 at home and Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens are 1-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-3 for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul and 7-1 for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens (current streaks: Fenerbahce L2, Panathinaikos W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 34% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Fenerbahce 81 – 82 Panathinaikos, a margin of about 0.8 points in favor of Panathinaikos and a total around 163 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (+2.0 vs +6.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Fenerbahce needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Panathinaikos' offense (86.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
PAOFBT
Recent form
PAO
80-75W
85-79L
81-91W
72-55W92-74FBT
76-95L
78-86W
64-61W74-65W
99-80Team comparison
| PAO | FBT | |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | Record | 6-3 |
| 86.6 | Points scored / game | 80.8 |
| 79.5 | Points allowed / game | 78.4 |
| +6.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.0 |
| W2 | Current streak | L2 |
| 7-1 | Last 10 games | 6-3 |
| 1-0 road | Home / road record | 5-0 home |
| 25-19 (+1.7) | Last season | 27-16 (+1.4) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.