Hapoel TLV vs Besiktas prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, April 6
At a glance
Besiktas Istanbul (3-5) host Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (6-2) on Tuesday, April 6 at 1:00 PM ET at TURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv a 56% chance to win and projects a 88-87 score (Hapoel TLV – Besiktas), about 175 total points. This season, Besiktas Istanbul are 1-3 at home and Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for Besiktas Istanbul and 6-2 for Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (current streaks: Besiktas L2, Hapoel TLV W4). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Besiktas 87 – 88 Hapoel TLV, a margin of about 1.7 points in favor of Hapoel TLV and a total around 175 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-1.0 vs +3.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Besiktas needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Hapoel TLV's offense (90.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
HTABJK
Recent form
HTA
118-88W
90-81W
91-81W100-82L
82-93BJK
73-81L80-89W
95-87L82-100W
92-84Head-to-head
Team comparison
| HTA | BJK | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | Record | 3-5 |
| 90.4 | Points scored / game | 86.2 |
| 85.8 | Points allowed / game | 87.3 |
| +3.9 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.0 |
| W4 | Current streak | L2 |
| 6-2 | Last 10 games | 3-5 |
| 2-1 road | Home / road record | 1-3 home |
| 24-18 (+1.9) | Last season | – |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.