Olympiacos vs Anadolu Efes prediction EuroLeague · Wednesday, March 31
At a glance
Anadolu Efes Istanbul (3-5) host Olympiacos Piraeus (6-2) on Wednesday, March 31 at 1:30 PM ET at TURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Olympiacos Piraeus a 73% chance to win and projects a 89-82 score (Olympiacos – Anadolu Efes), about 171 total points. This season, Anadolu Efes Istanbul are 2-1 at home and Olympiacos Piraeus are 5-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for Anadolu Efes Istanbul and 6-2 for Olympiacos Piraeus (current streaks: Anadolu Efes L1, Olympiacos W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 28% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
On paper, Olympiacos dominates this matchup. The model projects Anadolu Efes 82 – 89 Olympiacos, a margin of about 7.0 points in favor of Olympiacos and a total around 171 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (-3.9 vs +6.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Anadolu Efes needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Olympiacos' offense (90.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
OLYEFS
Recent form
OLY
81-73L
61-64W
105-100W
102-97W89-66EFS
88-118W89-80W
85-70L
93-101L66-89Team comparison
| OLY | EFS | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | Record | 3-5 |
| 90.9 | Points scored / game | 81.9 |
| 83.5 | Points allowed / game | 86.4 |
| +6.3 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.9 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 6-2 | Last 10 games | 3-5 |
| 5-1 road | Home / road record | 2-1 home |
| 31-12 (+8.0) | Last season | 12-26 (-4.2) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.