Virtus Bologna vs Olympiacos prediction EuroLeague · Friday, March 26
At a glance
Olympiacos Piraeus (6-2) host Virtus Bologna (4-4) on Friday, March 26 at 3:15 PM ET at PEACE AND FRIENDSHIP STADIUM in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Olympiacos Piraeus a 86% chance to win and projects a 80-92 score (Virtus Bologna – Olympiacos), about 172 total points. This season, Olympiacos Piraeus are 1-1 at home and Virtus Bologna are 2-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for Olympiacos Piraeus and 4-4 for Virtus Bologna (current streaks: Olympiacos W1, Virtus Bologna L2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 19% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
Olympiacos starts with a clear edge. The model projects Olympiacos 92 – 80 Virtus Bologna, a margin of about 12.5 points in favor of Olympiacos and a total around 172 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+6.3 vs -3.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Virtus Bologna needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Olympiacos' offense (90.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Olympiacos' defense allows clearly fewer points (83.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
VIROLY
Recent form
VIR
74-91L
81-90W
86-78W
96-94W
94-87OLY
81-73L
61-64W
105-100W
102-97W
89-66Team comparison
| VIR | OLY | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | Record | 6-2 |
| 83.4 | Points scored / game | 90.9 |
| 86.9 | Points allowed / game | 83.5 |
| -3.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.3 |
| L2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 4-4 | Last 10 games | 6-2 |
| 2-3 road | Home / road record | 1-1 home |
| 14-24 (-4.6) | Last season | 31-12 (+8.0) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.