Olympiacos vs Virtus Bologna prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, October 1
At a glance
Virtus Bologna (0-2) host Olympiacos Piraeus (2-0) on Thursday, October 1 at 2:30 PM ET at PALADOZZA in EuroLeague action. Final score: Olympiacos 94 – Virtus Bologna 96. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Olympiacos Piraeus a 76% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, Olympiacos Piraeus are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-2 for Virtus Bologna and 2-0 for Olympiacos Piraeus (current streaks: Virtus Bologna L2, Olympiacos W2).
The analysis Model
On paper, Olympiacos dominates this matchup. The model projects Virtus Bologna 82 – 90 Olympiacos, a margin of about 8.0 points in favor of Olympiacos and a total around 171 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-4.2 vs +7.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Virtus Bologna needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Olympiacos' offense (92.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
OLYVIR
Recent form
OLY
93-91W
106-89VIR
85-87L
68-78Team comparison
| OLY | VIR | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | Record | 0-2 |
| 92.3 | Points scored / game | 80.8 |
| 84.0 | Points allowed / game | 85.7 |
| +7.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.2 |
| W2 | Current streak | L2 |
| 2-0 | Last 10 games | 0-2 |
| 2-0 road | Home / road record | 0-0 home |
| 31-12 (+8.0) | Last season | 14-24 (-4.6) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.