Hapoel TLV vs Valencia prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, October 8
At a glance
Valencia Basket (3-0) host Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (2-1) on Thursday, October 8 at 2:30 PM ET at ROIG ARENA in EuroLeague action. Final score: Hapoel TLV 82 – Valencia 93. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Valencia Basket a 74% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, Valencia Basket are 1-0 at home and Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv are 1-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-0 for Valencia Basket and 2-1 for Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (current streaks: Valencia W3, Hapoel TLV W2).
The analysis Model
Valencia starts with a clear edge. The model projects Valencia 93 – 85 Hapoel TLV, a margin of about 7.3 points in favor of Valencia and a total around 178 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+5.5 vs +1.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Hapoel TLV needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Valencia's offense (94.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
HTAVBC
Recent form
HTA
102-98W
81-80L
84-86VBC
105-92W
111-88W
96-94Team comparison
| HTA | VBC | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | Record | 3-0 |
| 87.8 | Points scored / game | 94.1 |
| 86.1 | Points allowed / game | 87.7 |
| +1.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.5 |
| W2 | Current streak | W3 |
| 2-1 | Last 10 games | 3-0 |
| 1-0 road | Home / road record | 1-0 home |
| 24-18 (+1.9) | Last season | 28-16 (+4.1) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.