Valencia vs Hapoel TLV prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, January 14
At a glance
Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (6-2) host Valencia Basket (6-2) on Thursday, January 14 at 1:45 PM ET at ARENA 8888 SOFIA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv a 58% chance to win and projects a 88-91 score (Valencia – Hapoel TLV), about 179 total points. This season, Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv are 4-1 at home and Valencia Basket are 3-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv and 6-2 for Valencia Basket (current streaks: Hapoel TLV W4, Valencia W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Hapoel TLV 91 – 88 Valencia, a margin of about 2.2 points in favor of Hapoel TLV and a total around 179 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- Valencia needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Valencia's offense (93.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
VBCHTA
Recent form
VBC
86-78W
104-93L
88-91L
97-102W93-82HTA
118-88W
90-81W
91-81W
100-82L82-93Team comparison
| VBC | HTA | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | Record | 6-2 |
| 93.9 | Points scored / game | 90.4 |
| 88.1 | Points allowed / game | 85.8 |
| +4.9 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.9 |
| W2 | Current streak | W4 |
| 6-2 | Last 10 games | 6-2 |
| 3-0 road | Home / road record | 4-1 home |
| 28-16 (+4.1) | Last season | 24-18 (+1.9) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.