Besiktas vs Real Madrid prediction EuroLeague · Friday, March 26
At a glance
Real Madrid (5-3) host Besiktas Istanbul (3-5) on Friday, March 26 at 3:45 PM ET at MOVISTAR ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Real Madrid a 79% chance to win and projects a 83-93 score (Besiktas – Real Madrid), about 176 total points. This season, Real Madrid are 2-0 at home and Besiktas Istanbul are 2-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 5-3 for Real Madrid and 3-5 for Besiktas Istanbul (current streaks: Real Madrid W5, Besiktas L2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 25% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
On paper, Real Madrid dominates this matchup. The model projects Real Madrid 93 – 83 Besiktas, a margin of about 9.2 points in favor of Real Madrid and a total around 176 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+5.1 vs -1.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Besiktas needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Real Madrid's offense (92.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
BJKRMB
Recent form
BJK
73-81L
80-89W
95-87L
82-100W
92-84RMB104-86W
113-99W
111-92W
98-89W
86-76Team comparison
| BJK | RMB | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | Record | 5-3 |
| 86.2 | Points scored / game | 92.2 |
| 87.3 | Points allowed / game | 86.3 |
| -1.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.1 |
| L2 | Current streak | W5 |
| 3-5 | Last 10 games | 5-3 |
| 2-2 road | Home / road record | 2-0 home |
| – | Last season | 28-16 (+5.1) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.