Real Madrid vs Besiktas prediction EuroLeague · Wednesday, November 18
At a glance
Besiktas Istanbul (3-5) host Real Madrid (5-3) on Wednesday, November 18 at 12:00 PM ET at TURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Real Madrid a 60% chance to win and projects a 89-87 score (Real Madrid – Besiktas), about 176 total points. This season, Besiktas Istanbul are 1-3 at home and Real Madrid are 3-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for Besiktas Istanbul and 5-3 for Real Madrid (current streaks: Besiktas L2, Real Madrid W5). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Real Madrid is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Besiktas 87 – 89 Real Madrid, a margin of about 2.8 points in favor of Real Madrid and a total around 176 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-1.0 vs +5.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Besiktas needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Real Madrid's offense (92.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
RMBBJK
Recent form
RMB
104-86W
113-99W
111-92W
98-89W
86-76BJK
73-81L
80-89W
95-87L
82-100W92-84Team comparison
| RMB | BJK | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | Record | 3-5 |
| 92.2 | Points scored / game | 86.2 |
| 86.3 | Points allowed / game | 87.3 |
| +5.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.0 |
| W5 | Current streak | L2 |
| 5-3 | Last 10 games | 3-5 |
| 3-3 road | Home / road record | 1-3 home |
| 28-16 (+5.1) | Last season | – |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.