FC Barcelona vs Fenerbahce prediction EuroLeague · Friday, March 26
At a glance
Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (6-3) host FC Barcelona (5-3) on Friday, March 26 at 1:45 PM ET at ULKER SPORTS AND EVENT HALL in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul a 64% chance to win and projects a 81-85 score (FC Barcelona – Fenerbahce), about 166 total points. This season, Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul are 5-0 at home and FC Barcelona are 3-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-3 for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul and 5-3 for FC Barcelona (current streaks: Fenerbahce L2, FC Barcelona W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 32% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Fenerbahce is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Fenerbahce 85 – 81 FC Barcelona, a margin of about 4.0 points in favor of Fenerbahce and a total around 166 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- FC Barcelona needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- FC Barcelona's offense (87.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Fenerbahce's defense allows clearly fewer points (78.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
BARFBT
Recent form
BAR
88-84W
89-81L
100-105W
90-87L
81-88FBT
76-95L
78-86W64-61W
74-65W99-80Team comparison
| BAR | FBT | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | Record | 6-3 |
| 87.1 | Points scored / game | 80.8 |
| 85.7 | Points allowed / game | 78.4 |
| +1.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.0 |
| W2 | Current streak | L2 |
| 5-3 | Last 10 games | 6-3 |
| 3-1 road | Home / road record | 5-0 home |
| 22-18 (+0.8) | Last season | 27-16 (+1.4) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.