Fenerbahce vs FC Barcelona prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, November 24
At a glance
FC Barcelona (5-3) host Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (6-3) on Tuesday, November 24 at 3:00 PM ET at PALAU BLAUGRANA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives FC Barcelona a 58% chance to win and projects a 82-84 score (Fenerbahce – FC Barcelona), about 166 total points. This season, FC Barcelona are 2-2 at home and Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul are 1-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 5-3 for FC Barcelona and 6-3 for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (current streaks: FC Barcelona W2, Fenerbahce L2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to FC Barcelona, but Fenerbahce has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects FC Barcelona 84 – 82 Fenerbahce, a margin of about 2.4 points in favor of FC Barcelona and a total around 166 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- Fenerbahce needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- FC Barcelona's offense (87.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Fenerbahce's defense allows clearly fewer points (78.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
FBTBAR
Recent form
FBT
76-95L
78-86W
64-61W
74-65W
99-80BAR
88-84W
89-81L100-105W
90-87L81-88Team comparison
| FBT | BAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | Record | 5-3 |
| 80.8 | Points scored / game | 87.1 |
| 78.4 | Points allowed / game | 85.7 |
| +2.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.2 |
| L2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 6-3 | Last 10 games | 5-3 |
| 1-3 road | Home / road record | 2-2 home |
| 27-16 (+1.4) | Last season | 22-18 (+0.8) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.